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Investment Beta Calculator

Estimate a share or portfolio's expected return using its beta against the market via the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM).

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Your results

CAPM expected return8.7%
Market risk premium3.5%

Calculation breakdown

CAPM
risk-free rate + beta × (market return − risk-free rate)

Worked example

With a 4.5% risk-free rate, a beta of 1.2 and an expected market return of 8%, CAPM suggests an expected return of about 8.7% for the share.

Assumptions

  • Beta must be sourced from a broker or data provider; it is not calculated here.
  • CAPM is a theoretical model based on historical relationships, not a forecast guarantee.
  • Assumes beta remains stable, which is rarely true over long periods.

How this calculator works

Using the Capital Asset Pricing Model, this calculator combines a risk-free rate, the share's beta and an expected market return to estimate the share's theoretical expected return. Beta measures how much a share's price tends to move relative to the overall market, with 1.0 meaning it moves in line with the market.

Frequently asked questions

Where can I find a share's beta?

Most broker platforms and financial data providers such as the ASX or major broking apps publish beta figures for listed shares.

What does a beta above 1 mean?

It means the share has historically been more volatile than the overall market, moving further in both rises and falls.

Is CAPM a guarantee of future returns?

No, it is a theoretical model based on historical relationships and assumptions; actual returns can differ significantly.

Results are estimates only and are not financial, tax, legal or credit advice.

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